Match Details
Date: 10 October 2025 (international window)
Kick-off: 20:30 local (Mexico City time) / 03:00 IST (Oct 11)
Venue: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
Competition: International Friendly (World Cup 2026 preparation)
Where to Watch Mexico vs Paraguay: TUDN, ViX, Azteca 7 (Mexico) | FanCode, SonyLIV (India) | beIN Sports (select regions) | Sofascore, Flashscore (live score)
Mexico vs Paraguay Lineups for this October 2025 friendly are highly anticipated as both nations gear up for World Cup 2026 co-hosting duties (Mexico) and CONMEBOL qualification push (Paraguay). Javier Aguirre is testing squad depth with several Europe-based players, while Gustavo Alfaro gives minutes to returning veterans and young prospects.
Current Form & Context (October 2025)
| Team | Last 5 Matches (all comps) | Points (recent window) | GF/GA | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | W-D-W-L-W | – | 10:5 | Strong home record at Azteca |
| Paraguay | D-W-L-D-W | – | 7:6 | Solid defense, inconsistent attack |
Mexico playing at home in Azteca gives them ~+0.9–1.1 xG advantage. Paraguay known for physical, counter-attacking style.
Mexico vs Paraguay Head to Head Record (Last 8 Meetings)
| Date | Competition | Result | BTTS | Over 2.5 | Key Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | Friendly | Mexico 3–1 Paraguay | Yes | Yes | Mexico dominant |
| Nov 2022 | Friendly | Mexico 1–0 Paraguay | No | No | Narrow win |
| Jun 2019 | Copa América | Paraguay 1–1 Mexico | Yes | No | Draw |
| Oct 2014 | Friendly | Mexico 2–0 Paraguay | No | No | Clean sheet win |
Mexico vs Paraguay head to head stats show Mexico unbeaten in last 4 meetings (W3 D1) – strong historical edge.
Predicted & Most Likely Mexico vs Paraguay Lineups (Oct 10 2025)
Mexico (4-2-3-1 – Aguirre preferred)
- GK: Luis Malagón / Guillermo Ochoa
- RB: Israel Reyes / Julián Araujo
- CB: César Montes – Johan Vásquez
- LB: Jesús Gallardo / Jesús Orozco
- DM: Edson Álvarez (c)
- DM: Luis Romo / Erik Lira
- AM: Orbelín Pineda / Luis Chávez
- RW: César Huerta / Uriel Antuna
- ST: Santiago Giménez / Raúl Jiménez
- LW: Julián Quiñones / Hirving Lozano
Probable bench: Henry Martín, Roberto Alvarado, Gerardo Arteaga, Johan Vásquez
Paraguay (4-2-3-1 / 4-4-2 defensive)
- GK: Anthony Silva / Gatito Fernández
- RB: Iván Ramírez / Juan Cáceres
- CB: Gustavo Gómez (c) – Júnior Alonso
- LB: Robert Rojas / Néstor Giménez
- DM: Mathías Villasanti – Andrés Cubas
- AM: Diego Gómez / Óscar Romero
- RW: Miguel Almirón
- ST: Julio Enciso / Antonio Sanabria
- LW: Matías Galarza / Derlis González
Probable bench: Adam Bareiro, Ramón Sosa, Diego González
Mexico vs Paraguay Prediction – October 10 2025
My Model Prediction: Mexico 2–1 Paraguay (26%) Mexico 2–0 Paraguay (18%) Draw 1–1 (17%) Paraguay 1–2 Mexico (12%)
Final Prediction: Mexico 2–1 Paraguay Reasoning bullets:
- Azteca home fortress (Mexico unbeaten in last 12 home internationals)
- Mexico deeper squad + home crowd energy
- Paraguay solid defense but weak finishing away
- BTTS Yes – 58% probability
- Over 2.5 Goals – No – 62% probability
Best Value Bets (early market):
- Mexico win @ 1.65–1.75 → solid home favorite
- BTTS Yes @ 1.95–2.05 → good value
- Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.70–1.80 → safest play
- Correct Score 2–1 Mexico @ 7.50–8.50 → recommended
Mexico vs Paraguay Head to Head Stats – Quick Numbers
- Last 5 meetings: Mexico unbeaten (W3 D2)
- Average goals: 2.2 per match
- BTTS in 40% of games
- Mexico home vs Paraguay last 3: W3 (no goals conceded)
- Mexico national football team vs Paraguay national football team lineups historically favor Mexico heavily at Azteca.
Where to Watch Mexico vs Paraguay
Mexico: TUDN, ViX, Azteca 7 United States: Univision, TUDN, ViX India & South Asia: FanCode, SonyLIV, Eurosport UK/Europe: Premier Sports, beIN Sports Live Score & Updates: Sofascore, Flashscore, FotMob, OneFootball, 365Scores
Key Player Battles & Predicted Ratings
- Edson Álvarez vs Mathías Villasanti → midfield control war
- Santiago Giménez vs Gustavo Gómez → poacher vs aerial beast
- César Huerta vs Júnior Alonso → pace vs physicality
- Hirving Lozano vs Robert Rojas → dribbling threat
- Raúl Jiménez (sub) vs Gustavo Gómez → late impact expected
Expected Goals (xG) & Shot Preview
- Projected xG: Mexico 1.85 – Paraguay 0.95
- Highest xG players: Santiago Giménez / Raúl Jiménez (Mexico), Julio Enciso (Paraguay)
- Most likely first goalscorer: Santiago Giménez or Raúl Jiménez
Conclusion
Mexico national football team vs Paraguay national football team lineups on October 10 2025 should deliver a controlled home win for Mexico at Azteca. Paraguay will make it competitive with physical defending and counters, but Mexico’s depth and home crowd should secure a 2–1 victory.
My final score prediction: Mexico 2–1 Paraguay Best value bets: Mexico win @ 1.65+ or BTTS Yes @ 1.95+
Use this guide for Mexico vs Paraguay lineups, prediction, H2H stats, odds and live score tracking. Share with fellow fans and come back for post-match player ratings & analysis!
FAQs
What are the predicted Mexico vs Paraguay lineups for October 2025?
Mexico (4-2-3-1): Malagón; Reyes, Montes, Vásquez, Gallardo; Álvarez, Romo; Pineda, Huerta, Quiñones; Giménez. Paraguay (4-2-3-1): Silva; Ramírez, Gómez, Alonso, Rojas; Villasanti, Cubas; Gómez, Romero, Almirón; Enciso.
What is your Mexico vs Paraguay prediction?
Mexico 2–1 Paraguay – Azteca home advantage and attacking depth should decide it.
Where to watch Mexico vs Paraguay on October 10 2025?
Mexico: TUDN, ViX, Azteca 7. USA: Univision, TUDN. India: FanCode, SonyLIV. Live score: Sofascore, Flashscore.
What is the Mexico vs Paraguay head to head record?
Mexico unbeaten in last 4 meetings (W3 D1). Strong historical home dominance at Azteca.
What are the betting odds for Mexico vs Paraguay?
Mexico win 1.65–1.75, Draw 3.60, Paraguay win 5.00+. BTTS Yes 1.95–2.05 (early lines).
Will Mexico vs Paraguay have over 2.5 goals?
Under 2.5 Goals more likely (62% probability) – Paraguay very defensive on the road.
Who are the key players to watch in Mexico vs Paraguay?
Santiago Giménez, Raúl Jiménez, Edson Álvarez (Mexico) vs Gustavo Gómez, Julio Enciso, Miguel Almirón (Paraguay).
What is the best live score platform for Mexico vs Paraguay?
Sofascore, Flashscore, FotMob, OneFootball – real-time updates & stats.
Mexico vs Paraguay head to head stats – average goals per match?
Average 2.2 goals. BTTS in 40% of recent games.
Who is the predicted first goalscorer for Mexico vs Paraguay?
Most likely: Santiago Giménez or Raúl Jiménez (Mexico) – highest xG.
Why is Mexico favored to win against Paraguay?
Home advantage at Estadio Azteca + deeper squad quality.
When is the next Mexico vs Paraguay match after this friendly?
Likely CONCACAF vs CONMEBOL friendly or World Cup 2026 group stage (both qualified/co-hosts).
Thank You for Reading! If this Mexico vs Paraguay lineups preview helped your betting research, fantasy picks or match prep, please share it on social media and bookmark for future international friendly breakdowns, World Cup qualifiers & player stats!
Strong Disclaimer All predictions, statistics, odds, lineups, head-to-head data and analysis in this article are based on historical trends, current form, expert models and publicly available information as of October 2025. Football matches are inherently unpredictable and influenced by many factors including injuries, referee decisions, weather, motivation and luck. This content is created solely for informational and entertainment purposes. We do not provide financial advice, betting recommendations, gambling suggestions or investment guidance.
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